Wednesday, March 2, 2011

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A classic problem of risk management

The facts are simple: a loss event draws a Sacha Dens extent of 1,000,000 € and occurs according to past experience, once in five years. As regards the risk managers?

a) he "calculated" so that on average an annual loss occurs from 200,000 €.

b) he "calculated" so that even "tomorrow" a damage occurs to the extent of 1,000,000 Euros.

The solution of the problem I do not give here!

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