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(K) is a classical problem of risk management

There are risks to be aggregated, whatever aggregate. Fast is clear that aggregate is not the same as adding. You can add just apples and pears and apples or pears, but apples and pears, because they are "different nature".

How does it look for two (or more) risks of different nature? A strategic risk plus an operational risk plus a financial risk! Is there an overall risk position, and if so, are there a method of Aggegation? Quickly realize that it probably also in the understanding of risk as an effect of magnitude * probability of occurrence of the event, no method for a metric be in the system of basic arithmetic, since the probability represented only in ideal and theoretical cases by a single real number. In real and practical cases, a distribution function for the probability of her wherever. Which is not the question is raised whether and what sense it makes to aggregate risks "of different nature."

The solution of the problem I do not give here!

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Inner-party democracy in the regional associations of the Pirate Party - a review

What is the "liquid democracy" in the Pirate Party beyond the federal level? What state associations to use which tools? What is the use? This article and this corresponding pad with your additions will permit a brief overview.

Caveat:
In almost all national associations ...

... Board members usually meet in public in Mumble- online conferences, often accompanied by a PiratenPad . And physical meetings are often streamed live over the Web Mumble. The exchange of views takes place over mailing lists. Even with Telephone conferences of the directors have Pirates of speech and right of application. Proposals are often developed together on the Pirates Wiki. Communication takes place via Twitter and other social media. For appointments inventions and voting at regular tables and also Doodle is used.

What do the individual states beyond:

Hesse

[x] Liquid feedback - since the summer of 2010 - the state party in 2011 extended - because of local election campaign not currently used - consistent low use

[x] Lime Survey Polls - description of the tool - Past surveys [1] [2] [3] [4] - introduced via board resolution
[x] Application Page (on board) - each board meeting has its own application page, an example

Source: Ralf Praschak, Vice Chairman

Ontario:
[x] Liquid Feedback - board resolution - since 08.14.2010 until today - now first low use, no use - 47 topics - 167 registered users (1013 members)
[x] Piratensextant - introduced via board resolution - Surveys of each Board initiated - after four votes in mid-2010 suspended due to poor participation again.
[x] Special procedure for voting a new statute - see here

Source: Jürgen Stemke, a member of the Board

Saarland:

[] No Tools. The LV is working on the introduction of liquid and feedback LimeSurvey - both decided at the state convention (protocol not yet online). Launch is delayed at present by the AG technology at the federal level.

Source: Jasmin Maurer, 1 Chairman

Brandenburg:
[x] Application Page to the Board (without decision-establishment)

[x] Anfragesteite to the Board (without decision-establishment)

[ x] request factory for National Party Congress (2011 , 2010) (no-establishment decision)

[x] Test Instance LiquidFeedback (since 29.11.10 to date), low use, via board resolution

source. Sebastian Pochert, assessors in the LV, coordinator of the AG LiquidFeedback LV

Bayern:

[x] Application Factory (for national party conventions)
[x] surveys with Lime Survey - in each case decided by the Board - Members may submit suggestions put

[x] Liquid feedback - From Q2 / 2010 to Q3/2010 - Consistently low use

Source: Roland Jungnickel deputy. CEO

Rheinland-Pfalz:

[x] Application Page (on board)
[x] Application Factory - Link

[] No survey tools LQFB was National Association rejected after a long debate, instead, is typically used Doodle

Source: Ingo Hoeft, members of the Land executive

axes:
[x] Liquid feedback by board resolution - from 09/02/2010 to today - initially low user and nowadays rarely used
[x] request factory

Source: Andreas Romero, CEO

Thuringia:
[x] Liquid feedback - introduced by state party - since July 2010 to today - First high usage, now less and less - 78 registered users
[x] Application Factory - for each party individually - 2011 , 2010 - introduced via board resolution
[x] surveys with Lime Survey - via board resolution - no preview page - Results in Board minutes - Examples [1] [2] [3]
[x] Doodle - is used to view images, such as to venue for nÄ. State party
[x] Requests to the Board, each on the wiki to the session.
[x] Country House - formal, off-moderated debate - 2x a year "is objective in substantive debates halt to find a compromise on difficult topics, so that an LPT reached the 2 / 3 majority."
[x] Member Survey - results are not publicly

Source: Hendrik Stiefel, CEO

Baden-Württemberg:

[x] request factory
[X] surveys with Lime Survey - in each case via board resolution

Source: Sebastian Mink, Chairman of the National Association

Hamburg:

[x] Liquid feedback - from 21.03.2010 to Today - 167 users (453 members) - 273 matched subjects - very low usage - often only 10-20 people per initiative - via board resolution

[x] Piratensextant introduced Spring 2010, Fall 2010 to set

Source: anonymous
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No feedback:


This national councils have not yet responded to my question. If you want help, help the missing information together in the pad , thank you.

• Berlin
• Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania North Rhine-Westphalia
• Saxony-Anhalt Schleswig-Holstein
• Bremen Hamburg

Graphic: Wikipedia

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A classic problem of risk management

The facts are simple: a loss event draws a Sacha Dens extent of 1,000,000 € and occurs according to past experience, once in five years. As regards the risk managers?

a) he "calculated" so that on average an annual loss occurs from 200,000 €.

b) he "calculated" so that even "tomorrow" a damage occurs to the extent of 1,000,000 Euros.

The solution of the problem I do not give here!

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(risk) management by Traffic Light

- red - yellow - green -

The global, universal colors for states of a situation, such as: Risk:

green: the facts is in the green zone - no treatment need (Low risk is monitored.)
yellow: facts the yellow area - ongoing need for action (Relevant risk is managed according to a risk objective and risk strategy.)
red: the facts is in the red area - immediate need for action

The traffic lights are attributes that the risks (threatening risk is controlled by emergency measures.) and prioritize actions require. Nothing more, nothing less. Very simple.

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(Risk) Assessment by cockpit navigation

A modern cockpit for navigation of a mobile home "on land, sea or air" shows current parameters such as

• time and location (geographical Coordinates) IS ,
• [- it IS 12:00 clock, I'm in Stuttgart -]

and forward-looking indicators, such as

• planned finish IS (time and place)
• [- I SHOULD (planned time of arrival) at 14:00 clock in his Frankfurt -] predicted
• finish IS (time and site)
• [- it IS (estimated arrival time if) clock 14:20, until I'm in Frankfurt -]

on.

The exciting thing is the triangle of navigation from the target IS (in the future), the forecast IS (in the future) and the start IS (in the present). The uncertainty is in the forecast. The uncertainty lies not in the target. The goal is certain. The goal is no more and no less than a point of reference. The prognosis is uncertain. The forecast is a forward-looking assessment of the result. The difference between target and forecast is a (multiple) measures of the risk of not achieving the goal. A second measure (Complementary to the first) for the risk is the probability that the entry of the forecast is evaluated. With these two measures, we are well-known understanding that risk is a combination of a Anweichung of a target with the probability of this deviation.

Where the Navi well the prediction of achievement as the date is (estimated time of arrival) is drawn to the probability of the forecast. Or is there already for the delay announcement, "Our train IS 20 minutes late with 75 percent probability in Frankfurt . Arrive ?